Davis Cup has been dominated by European countries over the
last ten years (notably Spain),
but success should be more widespread over the next decade. Below are some countries that could be forces
to reckon with starting in the next few years.
Taken into account is the fact that while Davis Cup is a team event, it
doesn't demand a particularly deep team.
One or two dominant players are generally enough to win the cup. However, given that top players rarely play
every tie (or sometimes sit entire years out), it is a big boost if a country
does have depth. This allows a team to
make up for any one player's absence, and goes a long way to ensuring a team
will be a consistent threat year in and year out.
Australia: Australia looks like they will be
the team to beat in this event starting in the next few years. They've got great young players and lots of
them. Nick Kyrgios is the leader of the
pack, and if he can ever stay healthy should become one of the best players in
the world. 18 year old Thanasi
Kokkinakis just won a big five setter for his country in this weekend's Davis
Cup tie against the Czech Republic, coming back from two sets down. He has a huge game, and should be a major
presence for the Australian team over the next decade. Bernard Tomic could also play a big role in Australia's
Davis Cup success, as the talented young player seems to have gotten his career
back on track. It may take a few years,
but Australia
could win multiple Davis Cup titles over the next decade.
United States: The United States
has been struggling lately in Davis Cup, but this should change within the next
few years. We can't know which of the
young American players on the verge will actually break through and become
great players, but the emerging group includes so many talented players its
hard to believe at least a few won't make it.
Between Jared Donaldson, Stefan Kozlov, Francis Tiafoe, Michael Mmoh and
a host of other talented teenagers, the U.S. team could become a force
starting in a few years. If Jack Sock
keeps improving, he could play an important role in the team's success as well,
given his singles and doubles ability.
Donald Young (and potentially Ryan Harrison if his latest comeback is
for real) could also help bridge the gap and provide veteran leadership when
the next group is ready for the big stage.
Croatia: If Marin Cilic comes back healthy from his
wrist injury and returns to form, Croatia's Davis Cup team could be
nasty over the next five years. Cilic is
only 26, so he should still be around for 6 or 7 more years. 18 year old Borna Coric is already ranked
around 60 in the world, and is widely considered one of the games best
prospects. If Coric develops into the
superstar many think he is destined to be, Croatia will be a team no one will
want to face.
Japan: Kei Nishikori is now a top five
player in the world, and is just entering his prime as he hits his
mid-twenties. It appears like he may
have some help on the way, as 19 year old Yoshihito Nishioka has just cracked
the top 150 in the world. It's hard to
project just how far Nishioka will go, but people are expecting big things out
of him. If he can develop into a solid
number two for the Japanese team, they will be set with strong singles player
for the next several years. However,
doubles could be a problem, as they don't currently have anyone in the top 200
in the world.
Other countries a few
years further behind, but still on their way: South Korea, Russia
and France: A look at the junior and ATP under 20
rankings shows South Korea
could be a force to be reckoned with a bit down the road. They have 3 players in the top 10 in the
junior world rankings, and a couple others starting to make strides in the
pros. Russia also has a couple of top
junior players that seem ready to take the next step, and could be a very
competitive team within the next four years.
Similarly, after France's
current group of Tsonga, Monfils, Gasquet and Simon begin to wind down, France
appears to have some talent waiting in the wings. They currently have 3 of the top 20 teenagers
in the world. There may be a few down
years for the French while they are in transition, but after that their current
crop of teenagers should be able to return the team to relevance.
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